EIR Daily Alert Service, MONDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2019
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2019
Volume 6, Number 29
EIR Daily Alert Service
P.O. Box 17390, Washington, DC 20041-0390
- Man’s Fate
- In-Depth Preparation for Trump-Kim Feb. 27-28 Summit
- British Empire Coup Attempt in Venezuela Runs Into Resistance
- Ted Postol Demonstrates that U.S. BMD Launchers in Europe DO Violate INF Treaty
- Leading Democrats Launch Drive for Imposing British ‘Green New Deal’ Genocide on U.S.
- The Queen’s Chatham House Promotes the ‘Green New Dea’ of Ocasio-Cortez
- Chinese Ambassador Cui Invites U.S. to Belt and Road Forum in April
- ‘Worst French-Italian Crisis Since the End of the War’ Heralds ‘European Decomposition’
- Russia Plans Its First Manned Lunar Mission in 2031: NASA Aims for Return to the Moon, ‘To Stay’
- Nigerian Water Minister: Transaqua Project To Refill Lake Chad Bears ‘Promise for Better Life’
- Education Started in First of Its Kind Nuclear High School in Egypt
Feb. 10 (EIRNS)—Despite rumors of problems in the U.S. media, China is optimistic that agreement will be reached on the world’s largest-ever economic deal—a “trade agreement” with the United States—some time soon after five days of intensive negotiations beginning tomorrow in Beijing.
At the same time, not just North Korea and the U.S., but also South Korea, China and Russia, are all intensely involved in trying to insure the success of President Donald Trump’s peace summit with North Korea’s Chairman Kim Jong UN on Feb. 27-28 in Hanoi.
China, India, Iran, Pakistan and Russia are negotiating with each other and the U.S. to try to insure peace in Afghanistan after the U.S. eventually withdraws its troops. An overlapping group of countries is negotiating to try to insure peace after the U.S. withdraws troops from Syria, a withdrawal which is ongoing now, and reportedly will be completed by the end of April.
London refuses to accept it, and many in Western Europe refuse to admit it, but after major changes in Russia and China around the turn of the new century, and now with the Trump Presidency in the U.S., the world constellation of forces and ideas has undergone dizzying changes to the point that the national and world recovery plans of Lyndon LaRouche, which were apparently checkmated in the last century, are now suddenly practicable.
We are moving towards the new Westphalian world system of which Lyndon LaRouche has so often written. A world of perfectly sovereign nation-states, which willingly unite together to achieve what LaRouche’s ally Edward Teller memorably called “the common aims of mankind.”
Although the superficial observer thinks that Lyndon LaRouche was defeated and crushed in the 20th century, the experts and the first-hand observers understand that the ideas of the actually undefeated Lyndon LaRouche, were crucially catalytic in bringing about this great, still-onrushing change through which we are living today.
Unfortunately, this process is not irreversible. Or at any rate, it is certainly not yet irreversible. We have seen how Britain’s Edward VII contrived to launch the world’s worst-ever war to that date, World War I, in order to prevent his nightmare of the new, peaceful Westphalian system of co-development in Europe and Southwest Asia, symbolized by the Berlin-to-Baghdad railway. We saw what happened to John Kennedy when he was beginning to work to complete Franklin Roosevelt’s work, and reaching out to the Soviets and to outer space.
As Helga Zepp-LaRouche has often noted recently, the key link in the whole chain is the United States. If the United States brings Russia, China, and India together for a New Bretton Woods system, the adversary British Empire will be defeated. If our pro-British establishment were to succeed in their dream of reversing the 2016 election, that will reverse today’s winding-down of wars, and a bigger war, perhaps the last war, will soon start.
This is where you, the citizen, enter the picture. This is where you prove whether you, now, in 2019, measure up to the responsibility our Founding Fathers placed upon you almost a quarter of a millennium ago. It can not be up to one man alone, to defeat every snare the adversary will set for him. It cannot be up to one man, alone, to master the economic and related policies which Lyndon LaRouche spent a lifetime developing.
“Here is Rhodes. Jump here!”
ENDING THE STRATEGIC WAR DANGER
Feb. 10 (EIRNS)—Preparations are going on at many levels for the second Trump-Kim summit Feb. 27-28 in Hanoi. After a first round of consultations with his North Korean counterpart Kim Hyok Chol on Feb. 6-8 in Pyongyang, U.S. Special Envoy for North Korea Stephen Biegun briefed South Korean officials Feb. 9 and returned to the U.S. today. While in Seoul Biegun also held extensive meetings with both South Korean and Japanese officials. He reported to journalists that it had been “a productive set of discussions over the last few days, and our team engaged on a number of areas of mutual interest, and we’ve agreed to meet again,” specifying that it would be before the summit.
President Trump was pleased, tweeting yesterday that “my representatives have just left North Korea after a very productive meeting and an agreed upon time and date for the second Summit with Kim Jong Un. It will take place in Hanoi, Vietnam, on February 27 & 28. I look forward to seeing Chairman Kim & advancing the cause of peace!” He added that “North Korea will become a different kind of Rocket—an Economic one!”
For his part, South Korean Presidential spokesman Kim Eui-kyeom reported that Biegun’s talks in Pyongyang had been very detailed, but that the two would meet again “in the week beginning Feb. 17 in a third nation in Asia.” He also said that South Korean President Moon Jae-in and President Trump plan to hold discussions about the summit soon, Yonhap reports.
Yonhap also reports that a group of South Korean parliamentary leaders led by National Assembly Speaker Moon Hee-sang and including the heads of four rival political parties, left Seoul today for meetings with U.S. Congressional leaders ahead of the Trump-Kim summit. Their U.S. trip will last until Feb. 17. Yonhap says it “marks a rare official joint American trip by rival political party leaders ahead of a major diplomatic event.” The trip aims to “rev up the two countries’ treaty alliance” and “will also involve discussions on ways to denuclearize North Korea through diplomatic efforts including the upcoming U.S.-North Korea summit,” Yonhap reported.
Feb. 9 (EIRNS)—The following evaluation was written for EIR’s Feb. 11 issue of European Strategic Alert:
It has been three weeks since London and allied neo-conservative hawks in Washington announced that their synthetic creation Juan Guaidó would immediately take over as the interim president of Venezuela, that all democratic nations would quickly recognize him, and that the Venezuelan military would in short order rise up and send sitting President Nicolas Maduro into exile and hand power over to Guaidó.
But that has not occurred, at least not yet. What has happened in these three weeks is that U.S. Vice President Mike Pence and National Security Advisor John Bolton have threatened to use foreign military force to overthrow Guaidó, or at least to escort foreign aid caravans into Venezuela; Britain’s Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt on Feb. 4 has led a number of European countries (including France, Spain, Germany, but emphatically not Italy) in formally recognizing Guaidó; and the so-called Lima Group of nations has met in Ottawa to also recognize Guaidó and fulminate against any efforts to hold dialogue with Maduro or reach a peaceful settlement—as those proposed by Pope Francis and Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador.
But Britain’s regime-change script for Venezuela has run into significant snags, both internationally and inside Venezuela. López Obrador has stuck to his guns on Mexico’s policy of strict non-interference in the internal affairs of other sovereign nations, and has refused to recognize Guaidó. He is supported by a number of Ibero-American countries in this policy. The newly-created International Contact Group on Venezuela, consisting of several EU countries and four Ibero-American ones, met in Montevideo, Uruguay and issued a final declaration calling for finding a peaceful path towards holding new presidential elections in Venezuela, shying away from the idea of immediate confrontation. The Brazilian military has made it clear it will not be used to escort humanitarian aid into Venezuela, since Brazil doesn’t want to trigger a conflict, as Vice President Gen. Antônio Hamilton Mourão (ret.) stated. And inside Venezuela, the military has not sided with Guaidó, nor even significantly split on factional lines, despite every effort from Washington to activate all their assets. Only one high-level Air Force officer came out against President Maduro—and he issued his statement standing alone, with none of his comrades at his side.
The danger of chaos and civil war being unleashed in Venezuela, however, is by no means over, because the British Empire’s strategic objectives of the operation are still intact: 1) establish a precedent for “Responsibility to Protect” and similar regime-change operations throughout the region, to put an end to the entire Peace of Westphalia system of sovereign nation-states; 2) ensure that the region does not continue to move towards working with China on the Belt and Road Initiative; and 3) spring a deadly trap on President Donald Trump, swallowing him up in new warfare at exactly the point he is advancing on his stated policy of withdrawing American troops from Syria and other endless foreign wars.
Feb. 8 (EIRNS)—Theodore Postol, Professor Emeritus of Science, Technology, and International Security at MIT, shows conclusively in an analysis, complete with photographs, published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists on Feb. 7, that the Mk-41 missile launchers installed in Poland and Romania are quite capable of firing Tomahawk cruise missiles, which would make them violations of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. Postol makes the point that the crisis around the INF Treaty didn’t begin in 2014, with the first public accusations that Russia was in violation of the treaty (the question of the Russian 9M729 missile he leaves for others) but rather with the 2009 decision by the Obama Administration to install the Aegis Ashore system for European missile defense in place of the G.W. Bush Administration plan to use the Ground Based Mid-Course Defense (GMD) system for Europe (finessing one bad missile defense idea with another, Postol writes).
According to Postol, the Aegis radar is too short in range and the SM-3 interceptors too slow for the system to be effective for defense from long-range ballistic missiles from Iran, the ostensible reason for installing the system in the first place. However, because the Mk-41 vertical launchers used in the ashore system are mechanically and electronically identical to those used aboard ships, they do in fact have the capability to launch ground-attack weapons, despite the protests to the contrary by the U.S. administration.
Postol uses the analogy of the USB devices that we all routinely plug into our personal computers or laptops, whether they be hard drives, cameras, our cell phones or any other device. They can work with our computers because the software required for the connection is installed on the device and downloads automatically when we plug it in. The canisters that carry the missiles that can be loaded into the Mk-41 work the same way. The Aegis system is designed, as Postol points out, to work with seven different types of missiles, anti-aircraft, anti-missile and ground-attack weapons, and each comes installed in a canister that is inserted in one of the launch cells used onboard U.S. Navy vessels. The canister contains all of the hardware and software necessary for the Aegis computer system to communicate with it and to know what kind of missile is in the canister and how to operate and target it. So, when the State Department said, in December 2017, that the Russian accusation about the Mk-41 launchers was nonsense because they don’t contain the required software and hardware, they were simply lying.
U.S. POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC
Feb. 8 (EIRNS)—Massachusetts Senator Ed Markey and media-star Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez staged a press conference yesterday to release the Congressional Resolution for a “Green New Deal” (“Recognizing the duty of the Federal Government to create a Green New Deal”). Joining them were several of the 10 Senate co-sponsors of Markey’s resolution, which notably include Democratic presidential hopefuls Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, and Cory Booker.
The campaign aims to bring the United States in line with the Queen’s demand that the world exit entirely from the use of fossil fuels and nuclear power, returning to 100% reliance on wind, solar, and other “renewables.” As the British Monarchy’s advocates of this policy brazenly admit, downshifting human economy to such low-density and variable power sources will lead to mass death, lowering the potential relative population density of the human race to a billion human beings or less.
This not being a very popular proposition, the “Green New Deal” packages the plan to shut down modern power sources with talk of mass job creation, solving all racial inequality, ending poverty, curing all societal ills—a 2019 version of “a chicken in every pot,” concocted after smoking too much of the latter.
The resolution’s opening premise is the lie that “human activity is the dominant cause of observed climate change over the past century,” citing the October 2018 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report (which called for reducing human emissions of “greenhouse gases” by 40-60% of 2010 levels by 2030 and net-zero global emissions by 2050), and the November 2018 U.S. Fourth National Climate Assessment which accepted that lie.
The rapid exit from fossil fuels is explicit. “Our energy future will not be found in the dark of a mine, but in the light of the Sun,” Markey waxed poetic. To sell the package, the planned exit from nuclear energy as well is not specified and Markey would not discuss it at the press conference. But Ocasio-Cortez had initially posted a Fact Sheet on the Green New Deal to her website, which was very clear: The Green New Deal “would not include creating new nuclear plants. It’s unclear if we will be able to decommission every nuclear plant within 10 years, but the plan is to transition off of nuclear and all fossil fuels as soon as possible…. If it is possible to get to fully 100% renewable in 10 years, we will do that.”
That, plus that her Fact Sheet made explicit the intent to remove beef from the American diet and eliminate air travel, led somebody to convince Ocasio-Cortez to remove her Fact Sheet for the time being (CNN made it available). The Fact Sheet does allow that it might take more than 10 years “to fully get rid of farting cows and airplanes.” (That was too much for co-sponsor Sen. Mazie Hirono of Hawaii, who told reporters that replacing air travel with high-speed rail would not be of much help to her state!)
Movements of youth driven mad by fear of a nonexistent manmade climate change apocalypse, such as the Sunrise Movement, are now mobilizing as shocktroops for support of this genocide deal, attempting to make “climate change” the defining issue of the 2020 election by the summer of 2019.
Feb. 8 (EIRNS)—HRM’s Royal Institute of International Affairs, known as Chatham House, posted an “Expert Comment” on “The Future of U.S. Climate Politics” to its website on Jan. 30, discussing the need for the Democratic Party to break President Donald Trump’s anti-climate change policy, and the best ways in which to accomplish that.
The “expertise” is supplied in an interview by Leslie Vinjamuri, dean of Chatham House’s Queen Elizabeth II Academy and head of its U.S. and the Americas Program, with Gitika Bhardwaj, Chatham House Trustee of Climate Outreach. The post is illustrated by a rally photo of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
Their opening assessment is that most Americans want to remain in the Paris Climate Accord (69%) and believe in climate “science” (73%). The problem is that President Trump has been successful in fostering “the perception that environmentalism is costly and that the payoff isn’t worth the sticker shock….
“It would be foolish to underestimate the influence of the President—for example when it comes to deregulation” of environmental regulations, the two agreed. Trump’s refusal to lead internationally in pushing the climate change agenda is also stymying global implementation of the program.
“A lot of people in the U.S. are living on limited resources. We have witnessed middle-class wage stagnation since the early 1990s, so it is hardly surprising that a lot of people are frightened by the idea that environmentalism might be expensive,” Bhardwaj acknowledged. So, “there is a lot of creative thinking about how to square this circle.” This includes the “Green New Deal” being championed by the Progressive Democrats, which she praises for concocting “the idea that growth can be de-linked from resources.”
Democrats in the 116th Congress have already changed the political discourse on climate issues in the U.S., but can the whole Democratic Party be lined up behind the needed “transition to a zero-carbon economy?” The Queen’s minions are hopeful that the “growing recognition of the scale of the problem, and the political discourse in Washington is going to be different over the next two years.”
Feb. 8 (EIRNS)—The Embassy of China in Washington used this year’s Spring Festival reception on Feb. 6 to celebrate the 40th anniversary of U.S.-China relations. U.S. government attendance was high-level, including Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross and his wife, and Matthew Pottinger, the National Security Council Senior Director for Asian Affairs, and a number of Congress members, among the 750 guests.
In his address, Chinese Ambassador Cui Tiankai invited the United States to attend this year’s 2nd Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation in April in Beijing, noting with appreciation that Pottinger had addressed the May 14-15, 2017 Belt and Road Forum as the U.S. representative. (Schiller Institute Chairwoman Helga Zepp-LaRouche also attended the plenary and addressed a workshop at the Forum.)
With new global challenges appearing among today’s profound changes, “more than ever before, the world needs China and the U.S. to work together,” Ambassador Cui said.
He continued: “Our people need us to work together…. We need to promote mutual understanding so as to enhance mutual trust and avoid strategic miscalculations. We need better mutual understanding about each other’s past and present, economic and political systems, the culture and the society. People in China have always had a strong interest in learning more about America and from America. Hopefully there is a similar effort on this side of the Pacific to learn more about China, more about China’s ancient and modern history, about its 40 years of reform and opening-up, about the 70 years since the founding of the People’s Republic in 1949, about the hardships the Chinese people have gone through, and the strenuous efforts they have made throughout all these years. Then it would not be difficult to understand what China’s goals and intentions are and what the Chinese dream means for its people. Then it would not be difficult to understand that the Chinese people have every right to pursue a better life but they will never do it at the expense of other nations and that China is truly committed to working with all other countries to build a community of nations for a shared future.”
The U.S. and China “differ in history, culture and social system, but we should not be intimidated by those differences,” he emphasized, but if we act in good faith with mutual respect, “we can always find a way out.”
COLLAPSING WESTERN SYSTEM
Feb. 8 (EIRNS)—The French government decision to recall its ambassador to Rome has to be seen as the climax in a conflict that started the very day the “populist” government was formed in Italy. The European elites decided to wage an all-out war against the Italian “populists” in the hope of preventing a “contagion” to other countries. Emmanuel Macron took the leadership of that offensive, generating a war of words which has now become a war of deeds.
The counterpart (the Lega and the M5S) saw this as an invitation to the dance and to increase their popularity against the Eurocrats.
The specific reason adduced by the French Foreign Ministry for recalling the ambassador is the meeting between Italian Five Star leader and Deputy Prime Minister Luigi di Maio with some Yellow Vest leaders in Paris, as Elysée government spokesman Benjamin Griveaux explained in a Europe 1 radio interview yesterday.
The Foreign Ministry issued a long statement, in multiple languages, on its website, which says: “For several months now, France has—as everyone knows or may be aware of—been the target of repeated accusations, baseless attacks and outrageous remarks. These attacks are unprecedented since the end of World War II….
“The most recent intrusions constitute a further, unacceptable provocation….
“France calls on Italy to take action to restore the relationship based on friendship and mutual respect that measures up to our history and our common destiny.”
This crisis is but one of the crises facing Europe. French economist Jacques Sapir has posted an article on his Facebook page describing the “decomposition” of Europe and listing four recent episodes, any one of which would have had the same potential for conflict as the famous “Ems Dispatch” that unleashed the Franco-Prussian War in 1870. And each one of these episodes is tied in one way or the other to the European Union, he writes.
The four episodes are:
1. European Council President Donald Tusk saying yesterday “I’ve been wondering what that special place in hell looks like, for those who promoted Brexit, without even a sketch of a plan how to carry it out safely.”
2. The statement by the head of the “Les Républicains” party in France, saying in a tweet that the EU should make Brexit “painful” for the British.
3. The French recall of its ambassador to Rome.
4. France’s concession to British pressure to oppose Nord Stream 2, breaking its common agreement with Germany. “Voilà what makes even more laughable Emmanuel Macron’s earlier pretense to embody a renewed EU,” Sapir writes.
The Italian sovereignist website scenarieconomici.it, led by Antonio Maria Rinaldi, shares Sapir’s view:
“Current animosity can match 1939 or 1914. We should therefore ask ourselves what is the cause of this hatred which we saw already in 2015 towards Greece from the French-German media? Having created a cage with financial and budget constraints has, on one side, destroyed the great project of international collaboration that had built the real union and the common growth, such as Ariane and Airbus; on the other side, they have laid the basis for a fight of all against all on every bit of law or cent of money. Let us add that even European elections for a Parliament, with no power but with a political value inside individual states, becomes a destructive element for Europe, because it brings an unpleasant but obvious interference of one country into the politics of another country. The euro, bad monetary and economic policy, are progressively destroying Europe and, without corrections, we are going towards a disintegration as in the Soviet Union.”
SCIENCE & INFRASTRUCTURE
Feb. 9 (EIRNS)—According to a document prepared by the Russian Central Research Institute of Machine Building (TsNIIMash), obtained by Sputnik, Russia is planning to put a man on the Moon by 2031. “The purpose of the mission is to carry the crew to the Moon,” while the mission plan for 2031 is related to “the cosmonauts’ activities on the Moon” and performing tasks set by the Russian Academy of Sciences.
A heavy lunar rover capable of transporting cosmonauts, as well as a second manned expedition, are expected to be delivered to the Moon by 2032. The second crew will be charged with testing vehicles designed to travel on the surface of the Moon and in 2033 cosmonauts are scheduled to undertake long-distance trips on the lunar rover to conduct scientific research and test robotic systems. The construction of the first Russian lunar base is set to begin in 2034 and continue in 2035.
Across the Atlantic, NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine commented on U.S. plans for a lunar mission posted on the Ozy news outlet yesterday. He wrote that “as a lifelong NASA supporter, I am thrilled to be talking once again about landing humans on the Moon. But to some, saying we’re returning to the Moon implies we’ll be doing the same as we did 50 years ago. I want to be clear—that is not our vision…. We are going to the Moon with innovative new technologies and systems to explore more locations across the surface than we ever thought possible. This time, when we go to the Moon, we will stay….
“Billions of people around the world will watch history being made as astronauts explore more of the surface for longer periods of time than ever before, and help us prepare for missions to Mars and other destinations,” he wrote.
Feb. 9 (EIRNS)—Nigerian Water Minister Suleiman Adamu chaired the meeting of the Council of Ministers of the Lake Chad Basin Commission Feb. 7 in N’Djamena, where he called for a $5 billion program to recover the basin’s area affected by terrorist Boko Haram. “The chairman also charged the Council to focus on implementing the objectives of sustainable development as defined at the International Conference on Saving Lake Chad [sic] held in Abuja in February 2018,” the Eagle Online newspaper reported.
“He said in addition to the promise of a better life for ‘our populations, the revitalization of Lake Chad and the restoration of these resources are the guarantees of greater peace, security, progress and development in the region.’
“Adamu recalled that at the conference in Abuja, the African Union approved the Inter-Basin Water Transfer Project as a Pan-African project aimed at restoring Lake Chad for sustainable development,”Eagle Online wrote.
The International Conference for Lake Chad in Abuja approved the Transaqua plan as the only viable option to restore Lake Chad and build a large Central African productive infrastructure.
“He said the project, which would also restore security and peace in the region, was a win-win partnership for the Congo Basin and Lake Chad.
“Adamu disclosed that the partners had committed themselves to achieving the objective of synergy, saying it would produce hydroelectric power, build roads and river infrastructure and promote irrigation for the sustainable development.
“He said the development would extend to economic integration, peace and security in Central and West Africa and in the Sahel in particular.”
Feb. 9 (EIRNS)—At a time when Germany and Europe are de-carbonizing and de-nuclearizing, Egypt and Africa are going nuclear. While European youth are encouraged to skip school, because of climate phobia, African youth are looking forward to a bright future from their education. One interesting and telling example is the establishment in Egypt of a first-of-its-kind nuclear technology high school, dedicated to producing hundreds of nuclear engineers and technicians in the next five years, to run its first nuclear power complex in Al-Dabaa.
The Advanced School for Nuclear Power Technology, which opened in autumn 2018, is located in Al-Dabaa in Matrouh Governorate, in the vicinity of the soon-to-be-built Al-Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant. The Egyptian and Russian atomic energy agencies are finalizing the technical features of the contract. Groundbreaking for the project will most probably take place in 2019. Teams of Egyptian engineers are already in Russia for technical training by Rosatom.
On Nov. 19, 2015, Egypt and Russia signed an agreement for the latter to build a nuclear power plant in Dabaa, extending a $25 billion loan to the former to cover the cost of construction. The loan will cover 85% of the plant, with Egypt funding the remaining 15%. According to Egypt Today, the deal stipulates that Russian nuclear firm Rosatom will finance and construct four third-generation reactors, with a capacity of 1200 megawatts each, for a total of 4800 MW. The project will create 50,000 job opportunities.
Al-Dabaa is located in the somewhat desolate Matrouh Governorate on Egypt’s west Mediterranean coast. The project will bring productive economic activities to this province, and help rebalance the demographic situation in the country, where 90% of the population live on a narrow strip along the banks of the Nile River, constituting only 5% of the total land area of the country.
The first class at the school began with 75 students. The education is for five years, with the curriculum including all aspects of building, running and maintaining civilian nuclear power plants. The students will also receive education in chemistry and physics, besides mechanics, electronics and computer systems. It would be important to suggest to the administration to add music to the curriculum.
After graduation, the students will be qualified for work in the engineering, maintenance and information systems administration of the power plants. Naturally, they will also qualify for higher education in the same field.
Egyptians are extremely excited by this development, with media coverage applauding the students, the way trans-Atlantic media applaud rock stars.
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